The Risk & Validation System
Soren Blackwell — The Validator
Find what everyone else missed before it finds you.
Prerequisite Required
This program requires Human Foundation Certification. Every expert on this board starts by understanding the person in front of them. That's not a soft skill. It's the foundation.
Begin Human Foundation Certification →The Story
“The deal looked clean. The team was aligned. The market was ready. Then a regulatory shift you never considered wiped out six months of work. The risk was obvious — in hindsight.”
The Advantage
Decision-makers who run structured pre-mortems catch 80% of the risks that kill projects — before a single dollar is committed.
What Changes
You will have a risk identification and validation system that finds the hidden assumptions, cognitive biases, and unexamined scenarios in every major decision.
How It Works
Five structured lessons covering pre-mortem analysis, assumption mapping, cognitive bias detection, scenario planning, and contrarian analysis.
What You Will HAVE
- 1
A pre-mortem framework you run before committing to any major decision
- 2
An assumption map that surfaces what nobody in the room questioned
- 3
A cognitive bias detection checklist for high-stakes decisions
- 4
A scenario planning model with three futures and one preparation
- 5
A contrarian analysis process that turns disagreement into strategic advantage
This Is For You If...
Executives, board members, and decision-makers who make high-stakes commitments and want a system for finding what could go wrong before it does.
This Is NOT For You If...
People who want a risk register spreadsheet or compliance checklist. This is strategic risk thinking — the mindset, not the paperwork.
Curriculum
5 lessons · 2.2 hours total
Run the Pre-Mortem Before You Commit
Free PreviewImagine the project has failed spectacularly. Work backward to identify every plausible cause of failure — before you invest the first dollar.
25 min
Assumption Mapping: Find What Nobody Questioned
Extract every implicit assumption in your plan. Categorize them by impact and certainty. Attack the ones that are high-impact and low-certainty first.
25 min
Cognitive Bias Detection in High-Stakes Decisions
Learn to identify confirmation bias, anchoring bias, sunk cost fallacy, and groupthink in real-time — and install structural countermeasures.
30 min
Scenario Planning: Three Futures, One Preparation
Build three divergent scenarios for any major decision. Design a strategy that performs adequately in all three instead of optimally in one.
25 min
Contrarian Analysis: The Value of Constructive Disagreement
Structure productive dissent into your decision process. Learn why the best teams assign someone to argue against the consensus — and how to do it without creating conflict.
25 min
Not sure this is the right program?
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Take the DiagnosticReady to Start The Risk & Validation System?
Lesson 1 is free. No account needed. See the methodology in action before you commit.
Full access with Presence Pro at $297/mo · Individual program at $97/mo